Division of Biostatistics

Seminar Bayesian linear model

In this seminar Bayesian inference will be applied to the linear model as a valuable alternative to the classical frequentist approach. In addition to the estimation of a chosen model we will discuss prior choice, model selection and model averaging.

Would you like to participate? Just come around to one of the meetings, or send an e-mail to Leonhard Held or Daniel Sabanés Bové.

Time and Place

The seminar takes place in room F-28 at the Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine (Hirschengraben 84), at each of the tuesdays mentioned below at 9.15 am.

Schedule

The dates for the talks along with the specific literature:

22.09.2009Introduction to Bayesian inference
Reto Bürgin Box, G. E. P. and Tiao, G. C. (1973): Bayesian Inference In Statistical Analysis. Wiley-Interscience.
29.09.2009Bayesian linear model with unknown variance
Simon Kunz Lindley, D. V. and A. F. M. Smith (1972): Bayes estimates for the linear model. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Methodological) 34(1), 1–41.
03.11.2009Prior covariance choices
Steve Geinitz Liang, F., R. Paulo, G. Molina, M. Clyde, and J. Berger (2008): Mixtures of g-priors for Bayesian variable selection. Journal of the American Statistical Association 103(481), 410–423.
10.11.2009p-values and Bayes Factors
Leonhard Held Edwards, W., Lindman, H., and Savage, L. J. (1963): Bayesian statistical inference in psychological research. Psychological Review, 70(3), 193–242.
17.11.2009Model selection and prediction
Karagiannis-Voules Dimitrios-Alexios Jefferys, W. H. and J. O. Berger (1992): Ockham’s razor and Bayesian analysis. American Scientist 80(1), 64–72.
08.12.2009Model averaging
Birgit Schrödle Raftery, A. E., D. Madigan, and J. A. Hoeting (1997): Bayesian model averaging for linear regression models. Journal of the American Statistical Association 92(437), 179–191.
15.12.2009Optimal predictive model selection
Daniel Heersink Barbieri, M. M. and J. Berger (2004): Optimal predictive model selection. The Annals of Statistics 32(3), 870–897.

Basic literature

Accompanying material for the book:

Chapters 2 and 3 are relevant to the seminar.

Slides by C. P. Robert

More slides (in German):

From a linear models course at LMU Munich.

Literature search:

If your institution provides access, this link will be helpful.

JSTOR

LaTeX-template:

You can create slides for your talk by modifying this template for the LaTeX Beamer class.

Preprint of the article:

The original article by Jefferys and Berger seems to be unavailable online.

"Sharpening Occam's Razor on a Bayesian Strop"
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